Russia and Ukraine on the Offensive - Kursk, the Donbass & Escalating Long-Range Strikes

At times, the war in Ukraine has had a relatively clear division between the power currently on the offensive, and the opposing force standing on the defensive.

For most of the war Russia has held the initiative, and in 2024 that clearly remains the case along much of the front. But as Ukraine's incursion into Russia's Kursk region continues, it's become clear that the Russia may not hold a monopoly on battlefield initiative, and there are questions as to what the duelling offensives, Ukraine in Kursk and Russia elsewhere, are ultimately achieving for both sides.

In this episode, we zoom in on the developments in Kursk and Pokrovsk, look at the escalation of the long-range strike efforts, including the reported development of new systems like Ukrainian jet powered attack drones, and ask how, and if, these current efforts might be shaping the conflict at a strategic level.

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Caveats, Comments and Corrections:

All normal caveats and disclaimers apply

In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other decisions or purposes

Sources & Reading: To be completed by 04/09 due to late release

Timestamps:

00:00:00 — Opening Words
00:01:04 — What Am I Talking About?
00:01:36 — Catching Up
00:02:54 — Kursk Now
00:07:17 — Korenevo
00:09:15 — Glushkovo
00:14:42 — Other Ukrainian Operations
00:17:06 — Russia's Offensive
00:20:48 — Pokrovsk
00:25:25 — Evaluating The Balance
00:32:41 — Long Range Strike Campaign - Ukraine
00:33:30 — Impact
00:44:24 — Enter The Bread Missile
00:52:56 — Risks And The Way Forward
00:56:23 — Making An Impression
00:59:01 — Conclusions
01:00:35 — Channel Update